TONY Abbott doesn't believe the polls that are tipping the coalition to win the election.
"I think this is a very, very close race", the opposition leader told reporters in Adelaide.
A ReachTEL poll of 2785 electors across Tasmania shows the Liberal Party is now almost certain to pick up the seats of Bass, Braddon and Lyons.
And the latest Fairfax-Nielsen poll shows Labor's primary vote has dropped two points in the past fortnight to 35 while the coalition's rose a point to 47 per cent. After preferences, this gives the coalition a 53-47 lead.
"Frankly, I don't believe them," Mr Abbott said of the polls.
He says there is a long way to go before September 7 and Labor is about to unleash "the mother of all negative campaigns" over the next two weeks.
Labor is "hopeless" at governing but "brilliant at low politics", he said.
Mr Abbott says Mr Rudd now has a spring in his step because he thinks Labor's negative campaign is working.
Deputy Prime Minister Anthony Albanese played down Labor's poor poll results, saying the campaign was only at the "half time siren".
"We're about to run on the field for the second half, and we all know the premiership quarter is the third quarter," he told reporters in Melbourne.
"Tony Abbott has his campaign launch tomorrow at the beginning of the third quarter.
"He has to come clean with his costings, where the cuts will be."
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